Publications
2025
- Bellinghausen, K., Hünicke, B., & Zorita, E. (2025): Using random forests to forecast daily extreme sea level occurrences at the Baltic Coast. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1139–1162, doi:10.5194/nhess-25-1139-2025
- Concolis, B. (2025): High-resolution Reanalysis Biological Ocean Data from the Copernicus Marine Service Information for Philippine Marine Research. Data in Brief. vol. 62, 111913. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2025.111913
- Pérez-Aracil, J.; Peláez-Rodríguez, C.; McAdam, R.; Squintu, A.; Marina, C.; Lorente-Ramos, E.; Luther, N.; Torralba, V.; Scoccimarro, E.; Cavicchia, L.; Giuliani, M.; Zorita, E.; Hansen, F.; Barriopedro, D.; García-Herrera, R.; Gutiérrez, P.; Luterbacher, J.; Xoplaki, E.; Castelletti, A.; Salcedo-Sanz, S. (2025): Identifying key drivers of heatwaves: A novel spatio-temporal framework for extreme event detection. Weather and Climate Extremes. vol. 49, 100792. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2025.100792
- von Storch, H., Claussen, M., Heimann, M., Sausen, R., & Zorita, E. (2025): Climate Science Concepts Born in Hamburg. Springer Nature, doi:10.1007/978-3-031-81108-1
2024
- Biastoch, A., Rühs, S., Ivanciu, I., Schwarzkopf, F.U., Veitch, J., Reason, C., Zorita, E., Tim, N., Hünicke, B., Vafeidis, A.T., Santamaria-Aguilar, S., Kupfer, S., & Soltau, F. (2024): The Agulhas Current System as an Important Driver for Oceanic and Terrestrial Climate. In: von Maltitz, G.P., Midgley, G.F., Veitch, J., Brümmer, C., Rötter, R.P., Viehberg, F.A., & Veste, M. (eds.): Sustainability of Southern African Ecosystems under Global Change. Ecological Studies, vol 248, Springer, Cham., doi:10.1007/978-3-031-10948-5_8
- Carvalho-Oliveira, J., Di Capua, G., Borchert, L.F., Donner, R.V., & Baehr, J. (2024): Causal relationships and predictability of the summer East Atlantic teleconnection. Weather Clim. Dynam., 5, 1561–1578, doi:10.5194/wcd-5-1561-2024
- D’Olivo, J.P., Zinke, J., Goyal, R., England, M.H., Purich, A., Corrège, T., Zorita, E., Scholz, D., Weber, M., & Carriquiry, J.D. (2024): Coral Sr/Ca-SST reconstruction from Fiji extending to ~1370 CE reveals insights into the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation. Sci. Adv., Vol 10, Issue 33, doi:10.1126/sciadv.ado5107
- Feser, F., van Garderen, L., & Hansen, F. (2024): The Summer Heatwave 2022 over Western Europe: An Attribution to Anthropogenic Climate Change. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 105, E2175–E2179, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0017.1
- Goulart, H.M.D., Benito Lazaro, I., van Garderen, L., van der Wiel, K., Le Bars, D., Koks, E., & van den Hurk, B. (2024): Compound flood impacts from Hurricane Sandy on New York City in climate-driven storylines. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 29–45, doi:10.5194/nhess-24-29-2024
- Hansen, F., Belušić, D., & Wyser, K. (2024): Relationship between circulation types and extreme precipitation over Scandinavia is stable under climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL109704, doi:10.1029/2024GL109704
- Hartmann, E., Zhang, M., Xoplaki, E., & Wagner, S. (2024): Design of High-Resolution Paleoclimate Simulations with the COSMO-CLM Model in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East. In: Ksibi, M., et al. (eds): Recent Advances in Environmental Science from the Euro-Mediterranean and Surrounding Regions (3rd Edition). EMCEI 2021. Advances in Science, Technology & Innovation. Springer, Cham., doi:10.1007/978-3-031-43922-3_55
- Klockmann, M., von Toussaint, U., & Zorita, E. (2024): Towards variance-conserving reconstructions of climate indices with Gaussian process regression in an embedding space. Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 1765–1787, doi:10.5194/gmd-17-1765-2024
- Pérez-Aracil, J., Marina, C.M., Zorita, E., Barriopedro, D., Zaninelli, P., Giuliani, M., Castelletti, A., Gutiérrez, P.A., & Salcedo-Sanz, S. (2024): Autoencoder-based flow-analogue probabilistic reconstruction of heat waves from pressure fields. Ann NY Acad Sci., 1–13, doi:10.1111/nyas.15243
- Rouault, M., Dieppois, B., Tim, N., Hünicke, B., & Zorita, E. (2024): Southern Africa Climate Over the Recent Decades: Description, Variability and Trends. In: von Maltitz, G.P., Midgley, G.F., Veitch, J., Brümmer, C., Rötter, R.P., Viehberg, F.A., & Veste, M. (eds.): Sustainability of Southern African Ecosystems under Global Change. Ecological Studies, vol 248, Springer, Cham., doi:10.1007/978-3-031-10948-5_6
- Weitzel, N., Andres, H., Baudouin, J.-P., Kapsch, M.-L., Mikolajewicz, U., Jonkers, L., Bothe, O., Ziegler, E., Kleinen, T., Paul, A., & Rehfeld, K. (2024): Towards spatio-temporal comparison of simulated and reconstructed sea surface temperatures for the last deglaciation. Clim. Past, 20, 865–890, doi:10.5194/cp-20-865-2024
- Wirtz, K.W., Antunes, N., Diachenko, A., Laabs, J., Lemmen, C., Lohmann, G., McLaughlin, R., Zorita, E., & Gronenborn, D. (2024): Multicentennial cycles in continental demography synchronous with solar activity and climate stability. Nat Commun 15, 10248, doi:10.1038/s41467-024-54474-w
- Zorita, E., Hünicke, B., Tim, N., & Rouault, M. (2024): Past Climate Variability in the Last Millennium. In: von Maltitz, G.P., Midgley, G.F., Veitch, J., Brümmer, C., Rötter, R.P., Viehberg, F.A., & Veste, M. (eds.): Sustainability of Southern African Ecosystems under Global Change. Ecological Studies, vol 248, Springer, Cham., doi:10.1007/978-3-031-10948-5_5
2023
- Essell, H., Krusic, P.J., Esper, J., Wagner, S., Braconnot, P., Jungclaus, J., Muschitiello, F., Oppenheimer, C., & Büntgen, U. (2023): A frequency-optimised temperature record for the Holocene. Environ. Res. Lett., 18, 114022, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ad0065
- Hansen, F., Belušić, D., Wyser, K., & Koenigk, T. (2023): Future changes of circulation types and their effects on surface air temperature and precipitation in the SMHI large ensemble. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-023-06704-y
- Laepple, T., Ziegler, E., Weitzel, N., Hébert, R., Ellerhoff, B., Schoch, P., Martrat, B., Bothe, O., Moreno-Chamarro, E., Chevalier, M., Herbert, A., & Rehfeld, K. (2023): Regional but not global temperature variability underestimated by climate models at supradecadal timescales. Nat. Geosci., 16, 958–966, doi:10.1038/s41561-023-01299-9
- Malmierca-Vallet, I., Sime, L.C., & the D–O community members (2023): Dansgaard–Oeschger events in climate models: review and baseline Marine Isotope Stage 3 (MIS3) protocol. Clim. Past, 19, 915–942, doi:10.5194/cp-19-915-2023
- Seim, A., Zorita, E., & Lawrence-Mathers, A. (2023): The medieval Moon unveils volcanic secrets. Nature 616, 38-40, doi:10.1038/d41586-023-00850-3
- Tim, N., Zorita, E., Hünicke, B., & Ivanciu, I. (2023): The impact of the Agulhas Current system on precipitation in southern Africa in regional climate simulations covering the recent past and future. Weather Clim. Dynam., 4, 381–397, doi:10.5194/wcd-4-381-2023
2022
- Behr, L., Luther, N., Josey, S.A., Luterbacher, J., Wagner, S., & Xoplaki, E. (2022): On the Representation of Mediterranean Overflow Waters in Global Climate Models. Journal of Physical Oceanography 52, 7, 1397-1413, doi:10.1175/JPO-D-21-0082.1
- Büntgen, U., Smith, S.H., Wagner, S., Krusic, P., Esper, J., Piermattei, A., Crivellaro, A., Reinig, F., Tegel, W., Kirdyanov, A., Trnka, M. & Oppenheimer, C. (2022): Global tree-ring response and inferred climate variation following the mid-thirteenth century Samalas eruption. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06141-3
- Carvalho-Oliveira, J., Borchert, L.F., Zorita, E., & Baehr, J. (2022): Self-Organizing Maps Identify Windows of Opportunity for Seasonal European Summer Predictions. Front. Clim. 4:844634, doi:10.3389/fclim.2022.844634
- Kjellström, E., Hansen, F., & Belušić, D. (2022): Contributions from Changing Large-Scale Atmospheric Conditions to Changes in Scandinavian Temperature and Precipitation Between Two Climate Normals. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 74, pp 204–221, doi:10.16993/tellusa.49
- Meier, H.E.M., Kniebusch, M., Dieterich, C., Gröger, M., Zorita, E., Elmgren, R., Myrberg, K., Ahola, M.P., Bartosova, A., Bonsdorff, E., Börgel, F., Capell, R., Carlén, I., Carlund, T., Carstensen, J., Christensen, O.B., Dierschke, V., Frauen, C., Frederiksen, M., Gaget, E., Galatius, A., Haapala, J. J., Halkka, A., Hugelius, G., Hünicke, B., Jaagus, J., Jüssi, M., Käyhkö, J., Kirchner, N., Kjellström, E., Kulinski, K., Lehmann, A., Lindström, G., May, W., Miller, P.A., Mohrholz, V., Müller-Karulis, B., Pavón-Jordán, D., Quante, M., Reckermann, M., Rutgersson, A., Savchuk, O.P., Stendel, M., Tuomi, L., Viitasalo, M., Weisse, R., & Zhang, W. (2022): Climate change in the Baltic Sea region: a summary. Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 457–593, doi:10.5194/esd-13-457-2022
- Reckermann, M., Omstedt, A., Soomere, T., Aigars, J., Akhtar, N., Bełdowska, M., Bełdowski, J., Cronin, T., Czub, M., Eero, M., Hyytiäinen, K.P., Jalkanen, J.-P., Kiessling, A., Kjellström, E., Kuliński, K., Larsén, X.G., McCrackin, M., Meier, H.E.M., Oberbeckmann, S., Parnell, K., Pons-Seres de Brauwer, C., Poska, A., Saarinen, J., Szymczycha, B., Undeman, E., Wörman, A., & Zorita, E. (2022): Human impacts and their interactions in the Baltic Sea region. Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1–80, doi:10.5194/esd-13-1-2022
- van Garderen, L., & Mindlin, J. (2022): A storyline attribution of the 2011/2012 drought in Southeastern South America. Weather, doi:10.1002/wea.4185
- Wahl, E.R., Zorita, E., Diaz, H.F., & Hoell, A. (2022): Southwestern United States drought of the 21st century presages drier conditions into the future. Commun Earth Environ 3, 202 (2022), doi:10.1038/s43247-022-00532-4
- Wahl, E., Zorita, E., & Hoell, A. (2022): The Kalman Filter as Post-Processor for Analog Data-Model Assimilation in Paleoclimate Reconstruction. Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0454.1
- Zhang, Z., Wagner, S., Klockmann, M., & Zorita, E. (2022): Evaluation of statistical climate reconstruction methods based on pseudoproxy experiments using linear and machine-learning methods. Clim. Past, 18, 2643–2668, doi:10.5194/cp-18-2643-2022
2021
- Abram, N., Kaufman, D., McGregor, H., Martrat, B., Bothe, O., & Linderholm, H. (2021): Global climate goes regional, and vice versa: Reflecting on 14 years of the PAGES 2k Network. Past Global Changes Magazine, vol. 29(1), 59, doi:10.22498/pages.29.1.16
- Bothe, O., Rehfeld, K., Konecky, B., & Jonkers, L. (2021): Towards increased interoperability of paleoenvironmental observation data. Past Global Changes Magazine, vol. 29(1), 59, doi:10.22498/pages.29.1.59
- Bothe, O., & Zorita, E. (2021): Technical note: Considerations on using uncertain proxies in the analogue method for spatiotemporal reconstructions of millennial-scale climate. Clim. Past, 17, 721–751, doi:10.5194/cp-17-721-2021
- Büntgen, U., Urban, O., Krusic, P.J., Rybníček, M., Kolář, T., Kyncl, T., Ač, A., Koňasová, E., Čáslavský, J., Esper, J., Wagner, S., Saurer, M., Tegel, W., Dobrovolný, P., Cherubini, P., Reinig, F., & Trnka, M. (2021): Recent European drought extremes beyond Common Era background variability. Nature Geoscience, doi:10.1038/s41561-021-00698-0
- Carvalho-Oliveira, J., Borchert, L.F., Duchez, A., Dobrynin, M., & Baehr, J. (2021): Subtle influence of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) on seasonal sea surface temperature (SST) hindcast skill in the North Atlantic. Weather Clim. Dynam., 2, 739–757, doi:10.5194/wcd-2-739-2021
- Di Cosmo, N., Wagner, S., & Büntgen, U. (2021): Climate and environmental context of the Mongol invasion of Syria and defeat at ‘Ayn Jālūt (1258–1260 CE). Erdkunde, 2021, Vol. 75, Issue 2, pp 87-104, doi:10.3112/erdkunde.2021.02.02
- Feser, F., Krueger, O., Woth, K., & van Garderen, L. (2021): North Atlantic winter storm activity in modern reanalyses and pressure-based observations. Journal of Climate, 1-45, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0529.1
- Jonkers, L., Bothe, O., & Kucera, M. (2021): Preface: Advances in paleoclimate data synthesis and analysis of associated uncertainty: towards data–model integration to understand the climate. Clim. Past, 17, 2577–2581, doi:10.5194/cp-17-2577-2021
- Jungclaus, J.H., Bothe, O., Garcia-Bustamante, E., González-Rouco, J.F., Neukom, R., & Schurer, A. (2021): Simulating the Common Era: The Past2K working group of PMIP. Past Global Changes Magazine, 29(2), 72-73, doi:10.22498/pages.29.2.72
- Krieger, D., Krueger, O., Feser, F., Weisse, R., Tinz, B., & von Storch, H. (2021): German Bight storm activity, 1897–2018. Int J Climatol., 41 (Suppl. 1), E2159– E2177, doi:10.1002/joc.6837
- Lyu, Z., Goosse, H., Dalaiden, Q., Klein, F., Shi, F., Wagner, S., & Braconnot, P. (2021): Spatial patterns of multi–centennial surface air temperature trends in Antarctica over 1–1000 CE: Insights from ice core records and modeling. Quaternary Science Reviews, Volume 271, 107205, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107205
- Pyrina, M., Moreno-Chamarro, E., Wagner, S., & Zorita, E. (2021): Surface and Tropospheric Response of North Atlantic Summer Climate from Paleoclimate Simulations of the Past Millennium. Atmosphere 2021, 12, 568, doi:10.3390/atmos12050568
- Pyrina, M., Nonnenmacher, M., Wagner, S., & Zorita, E. (2021): Statistical seasonal prediction of European summer mean temperature using observational, reanalysis and satellite data. AMS Journals, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-20-0235.1
- Sherriff-Tadano, S., & Klockmann, M. (2021): PMIP contributions to understanding the deep ocean circulation of the Last Glacial Maximum. Past Global Changes Magazine, 29(2), 84-85, doi:10.22498/pages.29.2.84
- van Garderen, L., Feser, F., & Shepherd, T.G. (2021): A methodology for attributing the role of climate change in extreme events: a global spectrally nudged storyline. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 171–186, doi:10.5194/nhess-21-171-2021
- von Storch, H., & Zorita, E. (2021): Revisiting Hansen & Sutera’s suggestion of bimodality in the Northern Hemisphere midlatitude circulation. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, Volume 95, 2021, 101241, doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2021.101241
- Weisse, R., Dailidienė, I., Hünicke, B., Kahma, K., Madsen, K., Omstedt, A., Parnell, K., Schöne, T., Soomere, T., Zhang, W., & Zorita, E. (2021): Sea level dynamics and coastal erosion in the Baltic Sea region. Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 871–898, doi:10.5194/esd-12-871-2021
- Xoplaki, E., Luterbacher, J., Luther, N., Behr, L., Wagner, S., Jungclaus, J., Zorita, E., Toreti, A., Fleitmann, D., Izdebski, A., & Bloomfield, K. (2021): Hydrological Changes in Late Antiquity: Spatio-Temporal Characteristics and Socio-Economic Impacts in the Eastern Mediterranean. In: Erdkamp, P., Manning, J.G., & Verboven K. (eds): Climate Change and Ancient Societies in Europe and the Near East. Palgrave Studies in Ancient Economies, Palgrave Macmillan, Cham., doi:10.1007/978-3-030-81103-7_18
- Yi, X., Hünicke, B., & Zorita, E. (2021): Evolution of the Arabian Sea Upwelling from the Last Millennium to the Future as Simulated by Earth System Models. Climate 2021, 9, 72, doi:10.3390/cli9050072
2020
2019
2018